Is War Over Taiwan Inevitable?

2 years ago 251
  • The Cipher Brief

The Cipher Brief

As Xi Jinping prepares his nation for war, he also wants assurances of a “slam-dunk” win.

EXPERT ANALYSIS
HUALIEN, TAIWAN – JULY 23: Taiwan President Lai Ching-te inspects an exercise of casualty triage and medical care during Han Kuang military drills at Hualien Air Force Base. (Photo by Annabelle Chih/Getty Images)

Posted: July 28th, 2024

BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – Can war be avoided over Taiwan? It’s a question complicated by the opaque nature of decision-making in China, the global economic importance of Taiwan, and political uncertainty in the U.S., among other issues. It may also be the most important geostrategic question of our time. The Cipher Brief tapped a pair of experts with deep experience on the issue to assess the likelihood of conflict – and what might be done to avoid it. 


THE CONTEXT

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